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20121027
20121104
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Search Results 0 to 49 of about 124 (some duplicates have been removed)
with a lead all year. it's not just that obama is up there, but it's a state where it's been stable and consistent in the polling. i think it might be more in play because i don't think they are conceding ohio. they need a better plan b. >> is there a famous circumstance in which all the polls all yearlong point in one direction and a partisan poll correctly predicted the results? >> that poll is almost always going to be wrong. especially when there's a consensus of 20 polls. maybe in a house race where the public polls aren't as good. but the public polling is pretty good. we know what the party bases are and where they live. this is a state that teases republicans where they can get up to 49% pretty easily, but it's hard to get to 50%. unless because of the hurricane and where the power outages might be, that could affect thi things. but apart from that, it's a sign of a campaign that doesn't like the electoral map very much. >> what about the montra we have been hearing on the right. we were hearing the idea that mr. romney has momentum heading into the election day. you shouldn
obama won the state of florida and the presidency. oops. last year florida's new republican governor rick scott decided he was not going to make that mistake again. rather than expanding voting, the new one decided he would cut the days for early voting almost in half in order to make voting harder. look. at least that's how it works. long, long, long lines for early voting in polls places across florida except this year it's long lines with no relief in sight. we have been getting pictures ever since early voting started in the state. this is how democracy works in florida this year. look at this. get in line. wait and wait. wait an hour. wait four hours. wait five hours. yesterday florida democrats and the nonpartisan group the league of women voters asked the governor to do something about the long lines. they asked him to add a day of voting to open the polls on the last sunday before the election when many african-americans usually plan to car pool after church to go vote. the governor said no. florida's governor said, "early voting will end on saturday night, but i want everybo
pollster has had him with a lead all year. so it's not just that obama is up there, but it's a state where it's been very stable and very consistent in the polling. i think it might be more in play because i don't think they are conceding ohio. but they're worried about it and they need maybe a better plan "b" potentially. >> have you ever seen, or is there even at least sort of a famous circumstance in which all the polls consistently all year long pointed in one direction, and a partisan internal poll correctly predicted the results? >> yeah, that's almost always going to be wrong. especially when there's a consensus of 15 or 20 polls. maybe when you're in a senate race or something or a house race, where the public polls aren't as good. but the public polling is pretty reliable in pennsylvania. we know what the party bases are and where they live. this is why it's a state that always teases republicans, because it's a state where it's hard to -- they can get up to 48%, 49% pretty easily but it's really hard for them to get to 50%. unless because of the hurricane and where the power outa
in the battle ground state. find the people that voted for obama in 08 because hope and change sounded good and now know it didn't happen and it was not real. hope and change is now anger and frustration and divide and conquer. we'll not fall for that are we. we have 10 day to go here and as you look at closing arguments, we are talking about what it take to get people back to work and the kind of leadership that mitt romney has provided throughout his life and running at problems to solve problems. there have been hundreds of millions of negative advertising. >>> and there you have paul ryan out there in ohio, that key battle ground state. and presidential race is now a dead heat. clear politicings average showed mitt romney pulled ahead 48-47. and fox news battle ground shows the race is close in ohio. and romney has pulled within three points of the president. that has both candidates making a major push for the women and undied -- undecided voters. joining us now. the black helicopterers. dick morris, thank you for joining us today. >> good to be here uma. i noticed something interestin
think a lot of the seniors in the state of florida are concerned that with obama care, they know they are going to lose medicare advantage. there is a million seniors in the state of florida who will lose medicare advantage . president obama and senator nelson whacked away medicare advantage for our seniors and that is concerning and that's why the intensity is up in the state of the florida for republicans. >> in the final days before the election, what is the ground game going to be like? >> get out to vote. we are traveling around the state. i have my bus tour and the romney campaign is focused in the state of florida are getting out the vote and after the election, the story that everyone will be talking about is how well the ground game was done for mitt romney and for me and others to make sure our republican voters get out to the polls, and also independents that have been identified as votes for romney and me. >> i know you have a race going on as well how is your race shaping up at this point? >> it is very good. we feel like we will win by a couple of pointos election d
full fledged and even killing a u.s. ambassador. >> former obama state spokesman. >> i don't see a political agenda here. i see the fog of war. the fact that we still do not know -- it's not about politics. it's about the difficult task of reconstructing what happened, and having full access to the site and to all the people that played a role in thisment. >> september 18th. >> did the administration have any sort of heads up that violence was increasing specifically in libya before the attacks? >> i'm not aware of any, ed. this is a matter under investigation in terms of what precipitated the eye tack. >> that night, on the late show with david letterman, president obama gives perhaps his most elaborate explanation of what he says happened in benghazi. what it a spontaneous riot or planned attack? a combination of the two, he suggests. >> you had a video that was released by somebody who lives here, sort of a shadowy character. this caused great offense in much of the muslim world. but what also happened was extremists and terrorists used this as an excuse to attack a variety of
out, those states narrowed dramatically. some were double digit leads for obama. now within 3 to 4% for obama. what states just come through. i beg you. >> dana: it's amazing thing to think somebody had a mustache for 40 years. that is a long time. his wife might not have met him. >> greg: you know what is thereunder? >> dana: i don't want to know. >> greg: tattoo. >> andrea: also had mustache for a long time. >> dana: joe trippi said he would shave his head for the same reason. >> bob: thigh are not losing those three states. if they do it's a landslide. you talk about the gallup number, today the cbs/"new york times" numbers came out. three swing states, obama leads by one. in ohio, he leads by five. in virginia, he leads by two. this momentum by romney is all concocted and the press fell for it. dais i didn't call on you but you -- >> dana: i didn't call on you but you went anyway so i'll take the last word. one poll that came out yesterday that was interest, the national public radio teamed up resurgent republic to talk about the independent voters. if we go back eight months a
, and too close to call, in no fewer than ten swing states but the obama campaign and its media allies are questioning whether mitt romney's recent momentum is real. joining the panel his week, dan henning gary, james freeman, dorothy rabinowitz and kim strassel. kim, tell us how real the romney surge is. >> look, paul, i know two weeks is one side increasing its advantage in both the national polls and the swing state polls. that's romney. we have seen money flowing into that side. that's romney. we have seen him improve his performance in independents and womens. you can call it what you want and the media contends it isn't momentum but i bet the president's campaign is wishing they that that momentum. >> to that point, yes, the obama campaign wishes it had some of that momentum because i tell you what really going on. the president is flatlining. >> i think he hit a ceiling for two reasons. his approval rating hit a ceiling as far back as april. this president has been around 47 or 48% all through the year. there's no lift to the obama presidency, and now that he and romney have com
difference, because obama has over 800 of these field offices, concentrated in the swing states, you know, the eight or 10 or 12 states that are really crucial in this election. the romney campaign has about 300. so there's april quantitative difference, and there is some political science research showing that just having that field office, being on the ground in a certain community, does increase your share of the vote. but then there's a qualitative difference as well. the obama campaign, it's almost like a starbucks or a mcdonald's, a franchise operation, where every office is very much the same. it's all controlled by headquarters. they're all working off the same game plan, right down to every single office has what looks like this sort of nice grass-roots touch, a poster on the wall that says i support the president because -- and then everybody's handwritten in their reasons that they love obama underneath. every single office has that same poster. so it's very standardized, very controlled, very disciplined, and they're all working off the same plan. romney actually does not have
this means, next two or three weeks after the attacks, the obama administration and state department and inteleto a certain degree blamed a movie knowing very well it was a coordinated attack on the consulate andanex and this information proves it was a massive cover up. >> steve: you know, gretch, alluded to this leading into peter. it is a drip, drip, drip of new information coming out and it would be a bigger story if the media pecked tup. but hurricane sandy came along. >> gretchen: they were not covering it more. >> steve: they had stuff in the washington post and daily beast and mr. lakey is after it, but we may never know what really happened. and the other big story hurricane sandy turning more deadly . death toll at 90 can that number could climb. four and half million people are still without electricity. most of them in new york and in new jersey. one of the hardest places hit was staten island, new york. flood waters fill would homes and strong winds ripped the homes off of foundation and there are bodies in the water and have you seen fema out there? anais live this morn
for team obama. he is trailing in the polls and is being forced to spend resources in states that he won easily in 2008. as a result, the lying will no doubt continue into tuesday. what makes matters worse this just as temperatures begin to reach the freezing point in new york, new jersey, long island and connecticut over the weekend and famed families without food and power, electricity and heat our compassionate leader will be campaigning alongside who else, bruce string seen, former are drug dealer jay-zed former rapper who once shot his brother and uses the. in word. the rhetoric flowing from supporters even more disgraceful. ohio governor ted strickland attacked governor romney for sending his campaign bus to deliver disaster relief supplies this week. watch. >> and then there is mitt romney who tries to fake compassion by asking people to bring food to a rally and when they don't do it they take $5,000 and go out to wal-mart and by food to pass out to the people coming to the rally so that he can get his picture taken loading boxes on a truck. >> sean: excuse me, governor but he ha
to president obama's numbers nationally, and especially in the swing states in the southwest because they are not gathering the strength of the latino vote out there. >> we're going to talk a little bit more about that in a moment, because you're right about that. amy holmes, pick a state for me first. >> i've got to agree with maria that ohio is the state. it's the conventional wisdom, no republican president has won the presidency without ohio. i'll be honest with you, your producers asked me to look at the electoral map last night. i watch bbc detective shows, like a lot of americans. i think we're looking at this race nationally and we're looking at national trends. i think it's very telling that the president of the united states was the first sitting president to cast his vote early in person. i think that president obama is looking at his own numbers and is seeing that the tide is shifting against him and a very big part of the president's strategy is to get that early voting out now in favor before november 6th. before his support is eroding even further. >> where is his supp
happened in that state. a month ago, maybe it was two months ago you told me barack obama was going to win, ohio. you said that things have now changed dramatically in the swing state of ohio. where do you stand tonight, sir? >> sean hannity, this state has flipped from the blue column not red column for three reasons. number one, secretary of state john houston in columbus would tell you that there is 220,000 fewer he democratic votes in early voting and 30,000 more republican votes. that means there is a 250,000 vote flip which is the margin by which obama won ohio in 2008. secondly, ohio is a republican state. 20 of the last 24 years we had republican governors. the legislature is overwhelmingly republican. every elected member of the supreme court of ohio is republican. 75% of elected officials in 88 counties are republicans. and thirdly, by independent voting measures, 10% to 15% of independent voters in ohio are going to vote for mitt romney. and also the catholic church when i go to saint sin vent in kenwood in since is national the minister is telling us vote for religious freedom.
congresswoman in those states show an advantage for president obama. so with only ten days left, how does governor romney win enough of those battleground states to close the deal? >> think he needs to continue to talk about what he has been talking about since denver. we saw when the american people would ko see the governor unfiltered and to talk about truly what he has done as a leader. we see the american people are responding to that. the governor has a plan. unlike the president, there are some new ideas in that plan. >> gregg: the president has the nice glossy brochure. [ laughter ] >> the only thing knew about that is glossy brochure. >> gregg: it's really glossy. president obama leads in three separate polls in ohio by two points in each one of them the cnn poll and purple strategies poll. in ohio, senator rob portman admitted this to nbc. if we don't win ohio, it's tough to see us winning the election nationally. it's possible, but it's very difficult. how does romney specifically close the gap there in ohio? >> i think there are a couple things to be said here. there are other
president obama could feel the same way about it. this is probably the key state. >> greta: why do you all leave, ohio, and spread out across the country? why don't you all just stay in ohio if that is so important, got to get every vote there. >> because you got to make sure you win the others too. you have to make sure you win, virginia, and win colorado and win wisconsin and you win florida. florida you can't take for granted. florida is just as critical. maybe more in ohio. we all feel i think. >> greta: it looks like we have some satellite trouble. we have lost the mayor. we -- the governor, of course, you see on the screen here. just to give you sort of a heads up what has been going on in ohio today. westchester, ohio and this is supposedly one of the biggest rallies that governor romney has had as they sort of move into the closing part of this campaign. at the campaign today -- at the rally, speaker of the house boehner, senator john mccain, mayor giuliani, senator rubio. they brought out all of the stars of the republican party because there is no doubt everybody thinks this is t
for the swing state, polls showing president obama with a razor-thing thin lead. but good news for governor romney. joining me is our panel. first, rick, the good news for the governor is with independents? >> independents. you look throughout the polls, dismacial state-level poll, governor romney is winning independent, sometimes by a lot. this is interesting for a couple of reasons, president obama won independents w ago. john kerry won among independents 8 years ago in the battleground states. so this is a big reversal. can the president lose independents that badly and still win? there is a good chance that the independents look different. a lot of them are probably republicans, calling themselves independents because they are disaffected with the party and they are tea partyers. but it is a major shift to see independents, people who call themselves independents not going for president obama. you ask the romney folks and they say, this is a sign of weakness. this says our guy is very much in the mix, despite the battlegrounds. >> greta: steve, which team would you rather be on? >> righ
resources and previously won by double digit states of president obama's so we're down to the ground game. there's little that these gentlemen can say at this point that can exceed what their ground game has to do. we have a great ground game. we don't even -- our high propensity voters haven't even voted yet and i would disagree with my esteemed colleague and beautiful husband that it wasn't the debate, what happened at the debate was that romney filled the hole that voters wanted to be comfortable voting against barack obama and for mitt romney which is what romney's going to do for the next four years to grow the economy. there's nothing fundamental has changed. this economy is the worst ever, energy prices are not down and people are living the same life they lived four years ago. so that's what this race is about. not the polls. >> look, first of all, president obama won by 7.3 last time so he doesn't have the duplicate what he did in 2008 to win. secondly, there's a way that romney can win without ohio, but it takes a very complicated formula to do that. and you know, i think on the
polls, making news in battleground state, expanding the map into obama territory and he had to pull himself from the campaign trail and he is trying to find that argument. the momentum is gone, sapped. now, look, we have a jobs number tomorrow, the continuing questions in other quars and other ways to get back in this thing. but he lost 3 prime days, you were going to be working it and and hitting it at every stop. >> stand by, panel. extremely sensitive documents unorfed in the rubble of benghazi three weeksar after the benghazi three weeksar after the attack. if we want to improve our schools... ... what should we invest in? maybe new buildings? what about updated equipment? they can help, but recent research shows... ... nothing transforms schools like investing in advanced teacher education. let's build a strong foundation. let's invest in our teachers so they can inspire our students. let's solve this. de and ♪ ♪ you can help others along the way. ♪ ♪ a portion of every bottle that they sell goes to fight ♪ ♪ breast cancer and i think that's swell. ♪ ♪ the more
. >> rose: so you said 75 percent likely obama will be elected? >> that's right because the states are what w call the tipping pot states tt would swing the electorial college margin he has a two or three-point lead, so it is not for sure but we can use statistics and data that just look up how often those lead translate into a win. > > rose: zero so is critical point here is that many people say paul, david brooks wrote a column. >> sure. >> as you know basically saying a poll is a paragraph of a moment in time. >> right. >> rose: period. >> uh-huh. >> rose: no prophecy from that. >> my understanding, what you say is, yes, no prophecy, but you can look and reference it to oth times and with similar circumstances existed and then project forward. >> that's right, so and the way we look at it is the confidence should increase the closer you get to election day so if you look at polls in june, and june of 1988 michael dukakis was way ahead of bush, john kerry was ahead of gore, so polls in the spring and summer aren't very useful and you might look at what kind of economic conditions are like
Search Results 0 to 49 of about 124 (some duplicates have been removed)

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